Trading Outlook

Daily Trading Outlook: 10-Year Retreats to 4.93% as Oil Pressure Eases
Daily Trading Outlook: 10-Year Retreats to 4.93% as Oil Pressure Eases
Thursday’s Treasury rally materially improved the fixed income setup, but it does not yet amount to an all-clear for duration. The 10-year is back near...
Daily Trading Outlook: Fed Hike Flattens the Curve as the 10-Year Slips Back Below 5%
Daily Trading Outlook: Fed Decision Day Arrives With the 10-Year at 5%
Daily Trading Outlook: 10-Year Treasury Breaks 5% as Oil Shock Pushes Fed Hike Odds Higher
Daily Trading Outlook: Fed Week Opens With the 10-Year Treasury Near 5%

News

ETFFI News Roundup: Fed Restarts Tightening Cycle as Strong Consumer Data Reinforce Inflation Risk
ETFFI News Roundup: Fed Restarts Tightening Cycle as Strong Consumer Data Reinforce Inflation Risk
The Federal Reserve restarted its tightening cycle with a quarter-point rate hike as strong retail sales and rising import prices reinforced inflation concerns. Thursday’s jobless...
Fixed Income News Roundup: Fed Hike Is Nearly Fully Priced—The Path After Today Is the Real Risk
Street Views: Top Wall Street Fixed Income Research Scorecard
Fixed Income News Roundup: Oil’s Weekend Shock Meets the Fed’s Inflation Test
ETFFI News Roundup for Friday:  CPI Takes Center Stage as Oil Shock Pushes Treasury Yields Toward 5%

Research

ETFFI Fixed-Income Regime Study:  Short-Term versus Ultra-Short U.S. Treasury ETF performance in our Regime model framework. 
ETFFI Fixed-Income Regime Study:  Short-Term versus Ultra-Short U.S. Treasury ETF performance in our Regime model framework. 
About this Study: ETFFI research studies are premised on our Fixed Income 10 Spot Model, a diversified portfolio of 10 liquid fixed income and dividend...
ETFFI Macro & Credit Regime Framework
Fixed Income Research: Interest Rates and the Fed

Fixed Income Model • Income 10 Spot

LQD - Investment Grade

SGOV - Ultra Short Treasuries

HYG - High Yield

VNQ - Real Assets & REITs

SCHP - TIPS

VGSH - Short Term Treasuries

VGLT - Long Term Treasuries

BNDX - International Debt

MUB - Muncipal Bonds

JAAA - Bank Loans & Alts

Strategies

ETFFI Alternative Credit Strategy: Credit Income Outpaces the Aggregate in August
ETFFI Alternative Credit Strategy: Credit Income Outpaces the Aggregate in August
August offered a useful demonstration of why alternative credit can complement a traditional core bond allocation. Treasury yields finished the month modestly higher, inflation remained...
ETFFI 5 Spot Model: Concentrated Income With Limited Rate Sensitivity
ETFFI 10 Spot Model August Attribution Report: Diversification Extends Its Advantage Over Core Bonds
ETFFI Alternative Credit Strategy: July 2026 Performance Shows Proof of Concept
ETFFI 5-Spot Model: July 2026 Attribution & Current Signal Update
HBDC Fixed Income - The third pillar of corporate income